In
an earlier column, I mentioned that we have been running a handicappers’
survey on DesertSea.Com. The survey covers a number of topics, but
one that piqued my interest enough so that I recently modified the survey
questions, was the “ageing” of horse racing enthusiasts.
There
have been gloomy predictions that this is a dying sport because up-and-coming
younger players are not replenishing it and, as we geezers punch off
the time clock, eventually there will be no one left to turn out the
lights.
These
predictions coincided with—caused—the formation of the National Thoroughbred
Racing Association (NTRA) with a mandate to promote the sport. As soon
as there was an organization in place with some loose change to promote
horse racing, everyone who loved the sport had an opinion on how it
should be spent. The diversity of opinions has not let up.
Like
virtually every one else on this horseracing planet, I had strong opinions
about the NTRA’s original “Go Baby Go!” TV ads, and that was specifically
what prompted the changes in the handicappers’ poll. I couldn’t find
anyone—over or under 30—who could relate to the androgynous psycho-chick
in the ads, so the campaign seemed to stumble out of the gates. Moreover,
I wasn’t at all sure that entering into head-to-head competition with
every other sport and leisure activity for “Generation-X” was such a
hot use of rare bucks.
Over
the past decade or so, I’ve come in contact with players a few years
older than me who seem to be having the most fun and, in some cases,
showing excellent profit in their retirement years. There seemed to
be a pattern among players of getting introduced to the game early,
paying less attention to it during their major career years, then returning
to it full-force later, when there was the time and funds to do so.
If
this pattern were real, then the demographics of horseracing would naturally
show a large 55 to 75+ age group—but it wouldn’t necessarily mean that
the prognosis was “terminal.” It could simply mean that the age of
in-coming serious players would be 55—not 25. And, it would call for
a more complex strategy for promoting horse racing than simply trying
to get 25-year-olds in the gate for an afternoon of suds with their
buds.
For
this scenario, the trick for constantly replenishing the fan-base would
be to introduce a love for horse racing early, seek to retain casual
interest during career years, and then come back like gang-busters for
“mature” players. It seems mighty weird, but if you tripped to Jimmy
Hendrix—and he was alive at the time—you are now in the latter
group.
The
following is tallied from the survey responses so far. The results
are not scientific because, as I also mentioned in an earlier column,
people who make it to the site are probably more committed players,
more attuned to the Internet, and so forth.
The first “statistic” of note—to me, at least, because I anticipated
the reverse—is that 64% say they never left the game, while 36% left
for some significant time and then returned. My sense on this is
that it is a function of the nature of the players who make it to
the Web site—being a more committed bunch. If you could somehow poll
the more general racing public, my guess is that the percentage that
leave because of career and family to return later in life would be
much higher. Even so, 36% is big—certainly not a number the
sport could afford to lose forever, so bringing them back alive is
important.
Of all players, 55% say they were introduced to the sport prior
to their 21st birthday, and 67% were introduced to
the sport by their parents. Only 5% say they were introduced
to the sport by watching it on TV! Make what you wish of that.
Other responses for introduction to the sport include: 10% had an
interest in or association with horses (which was my own introduction),
and 4% cited “Other.” A common note with “Other” is “wanted to make
money,” which is consistent with other findings below that, although
people love this sport, profit motivation is a very strong factor.
(My favorite note on “introduction to the sport” is, “Through a grocery
store game called ‘Let’s Go To The Races.’” I happen to know that
the guy who sent this response is a first-rate handicapper, so maybe
we should find that game and revive it.)
Again, parents figure prominently in how people first attended the
track (as opposed to simply learning or hearing about horse racing).
55% indicate parents or older relatives took them to the track. 25%
first attended with friends of the same age, and get this:
25% attended for the first time on their own.
Although unscientific, 25% may be a very significant figure, because
it supports the notion that horseracing is a much more profit-oriented
sports activity than others. While I have no comparable figures,
it is likely that 25% is vastly more than would have attended
their first football, baseball, or hockey game by themselves.
(It may also say something about one type of personality drawn to
horse race betting.)
It doesn’t quite fit my preconceived idea, but it is interesting that
among the respondents, in addition to the 55% who say they were introduced
to horseracing before age 21; another 32% were under age 35; and by
age 45, 100% were already here. Correspondingly, 63% were under
35 when they began seriously handicapping with a profit motive.
The outstanding figure for this entire subject is this: 72%
of respondents say they are currently involved in horseracing with
a strong profit motive. This includes the categories of “professional
players,” “retired with strong profit motive,” and “part-time player
(otherwise employed) with strong profit motive.”
The
seriousness of the industry’s need to preserve and improve players’
ability to make a profit through reforms in take-out, miscellaneous
charges, and fundamental customer service cannot be overemphasized,
but for now, that’s a separate topic.
Since
the profit motive (as most of us have always guessed) is so high among
horseracing fans, my inclination has always been to wish the industry
would loosen up and actively promote one simple fact: good horse
players can develop a “positive edge.”
But,
in retrospect, the whole “Go Baby Go!” thing is probably about as close
to being on-target as they can get (without promising something it takes
work and personal skill on the part of the fan to deliver). The phrase
itself does imply a profit motive. It is aimed at the under-35
age group, where our survey shows serious profit motive handicapping
begins. And honestly—in deep retrospect now—the psycho-chick
was more interesting than some generic prom-queen.
The
other horse racing promotion campaign that has driven me bonkers over
the years—because I love the sport and have a great love for the horses
themselves—is that of the American Quarter Horse Association. You probably
haven’t heard much about it, because—well, that’s sort of a self-answering
statement.
Quarter
Horse racing is a potentially profitable sideline or, in some rare cases,
a specialty for handicappers, and I truly enjoy the mixed Thoroughbred/Quarter
Horse meets here in New Mexico. These folks trademarked the word “American”
into the name of their breed a few years ago so I’ll be careful when
I say that if I could own only one horse to ride, it would be an “American
Quarter Horse (™),” hands down.
But,
their advertising campaign! ‘Lantic-goshen! (I think that’s
how they talk.) Their flag-waving, wholesome, family-oriented, owner-oriented
commercials for this profit-oriented, cigar-chomping—betting game—have
always made my eyes roll back into my head.
But
wait! While writing this, I had a chilling thought: our survey
shows that parents are the introductory conduit for 67% of all horseplayers.
Do you suppose that I totally missed the subliminal angle of the AQHA’s
ad campaign? Could their portrayal of horseracing as an after-church
activity for young parents pushing strollers actually be a cunning
and cynical ploy to develop legions of future handicappers? Nah.
No Way!