Joe Takach

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Knowing who is “playing hurt” and who is at the “top of their game” is crucial if you are wagering on a football game, a basketball game, hockey or any other sport where peak conditioning of participants is always at a premium.

If you were betting an NFL game and literally had inside information from the locker room that the quarterback of the heavily favored team was going to “play hurt” with a questionable hamstring and a tender throwing wrist, would you have a “betting edge”?

If you knew that the “star” center for tonight’s basketball game had an enlarged right ankle that was very painful and quite questionable, would you have an edge if this WASN’T public knowledge and the spread on the game was only a point?

If you and a chosen few insiders knew that today’s starting pitcher on the favored team had a sore shoulder and missed a day or two of practice, would that influence your wager?

I could go on and on, but I’m sure you get the drift!  Inside physicality knowledge is available only to those who are willing to work for it or those who subscribe to a respected private service.   This information is literally worth its weight in platinum!

Horses are athletes too and many race “hurt” because they’re unable to speak to their coach like their human counterparts! 

But there is an upside for the astute paddock handicappers! 

Horses are much easier to read because unlike humans, horses can’t lie because they don’t know how!  Let me say that again so there is NO misunderstanding whatsoever!  Horses can’t lie!

If they’re sore with poor extension, it can’t escape the trained eye! 

If their ankles are enlarged or their tendons bowed, this is legitimate inside information privy only to a chosen few who know exactly what to look for. 

If their tails are flat and they walk without energy or positive attitudes, physicality handicappers know that they are very unlikely to perform to their optimum. 

If they walk wide or short, most often they are instant throw-outs, unless racing against even more problematic runners.

If they show up in the paddock with new and unproven negative equipment such as barshoes, stops, blowouts, martingales, run-out extension bits, etc., you can usually toss them out with utter confidence.

If they suddenly fail to warm-up properly on any given afternoon and you personally know that this or that runner ALWAYS gets a minimum of 4 furlongs of pre-race cantering  

before winning, you gain an enormous edge when you bet against them or just pass the race.

Nearly every handicapper who embraces “physicality” handicapping will tell you that in today’s game of short fields and short prices, they couldn’t possibly wager on a horse without looking at him.  Visual inspection has become an essential “edge” in their wagering!  This includes the legions of players forced to wager via satellite at an off track simulcast outlet.  Those of you who have a copy of my 90 minute video BEAT THE BEAM, know that physicality handicapping via the beam is not only possible, it’s very profitable if you are willing to put in a small amount of extra effort that’s returned to you many times over.

For the past 12 weeks I’ve offered you much new information to digest.  I’ve painted you a “pretty cow”, but how can you personally get any milk.

The first thing that is necessary is your willingness to spend some time to hone your visual skills whether wagering on or off track.   

Think back to the time when you were just learning how to “paper” handicap. 

Much like yourself, I went down many blind alleys when seeking immutable truths that were non-existent.  Was speed was more important than class, or was class more important than speed?  Wait a minute, wasn’t pace the most important?  Or was it some proportionate combination of all three?  What if the horse had to carry a weight package of 122 pounds for the very 1st time?  Did you throw him out?  How about running at an untried distance?  Did you immediately throw out all sprinters stretching out or all routers shortening up?  What about major jockey shifts?  What about dirt-to-turf moves?  How about shippers or females running against males?  When did 3 year olds beat older?  When did 1st lasix horses really matter?  

I could go on “ad nauseum” with infinite scenarios of “what ifs”, but I’m sure you get the drift!

Simply put, it took today’s proficient and talented handicappers quite a number of years to get good at sifting thru the many twists and turns to come up with their contenders when “paper” handicapping a race.  Their priceless working knowledge of how to properly weigh the unending variables that present themselves each day in every race is their betting “edge”. 

This “edge” didn’t happen overnight!  Years of mistakes (most repeated), trial and error, experimentation, perseverance and an unending desire to understand our complex game produced their “edge”.  Much like “paper” handicapping, so too is it with “physicality” handicapping.  The more you put into it, the more you’ll get out of it.  But the major difference between “paper” handicapping and “paddock” handicapping is that “physicality” is so much easier to learn than the very necessary but overly laborious “paper” crunching.   I wish I had little elves to do my paperwork, but unfortunately I can’t find any and am forced to do it myself.

I’ve personally tutored many students over the years on the finer points of physicality handicapping and most became proficient in a mere 6 months------it took me well over 6 years to learn how to properly interpret the Racing Form!

Hundreds of players who bet via satellite have told me of countless saved wagers and big “scores” because they took the time and effort to learn “physicality” via the “beam”. 

It can be done-----why not join them?


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