who is “playing hurt” and who is at the “top of
their game” is crucial if you are wagering on a football game,
a basketball game, hockey or any other sport where peak
conditioning of participants is always at a premium.
you were betting an NFL game and literally had inside information
from the locker room that the quarterback of the heavily favored team
was going to “play hurt” with a questionable hamstring
and a tender throwing wrist, would you have a “betting edge”?
you knew that the “star” center for tonight’s basketball game had an
enlarged right ankle that was very painful and quite questionable, would
you have an edge if this WASN’T public knowledge
and the spread on the game was only a point?
you and a chosen few insiders knew that today’s starting pitcher on
the favored team had a sore shoulder and missed a day or two of practice,
would that influence your wager?
could go on and on, but I’m sure you get the drift! Inside physicality
knowledge is available only to those who are willing to work
for it or those who subscribe to a respected private service.
This information is literally worth its weight
are athletes too and many race “hurt” because they’re
unable to speak to their coach like their human counterparts!
there is an upside for the astute paddock handicappers!
are much easier to read because unlike humans, horses can’t
lie because they don’t know how! Let me say that again
so there is NO misunderstanding whatsoever! Horses can’t
they’re sore with poor extension, it can’t
escape the trained eye!
their ankles are enlarged or their tendons bowed,
this is legitimate inside information privy only
to a chosen few who know exactly what to look for.
their tails are flat and they walk without energy
or positive attitudes, physicality handicappers know that they
are very unlikely to perform to their optimum.
they walk wide or short, most often they
are instant throw-outs, unless racing against even
more problematic runners.
they show up in the paddock with new and unproven negative
equipment such as barshoes, stops, blowouts, martingales, run-out
extension bits, etc., you can usually toss them out with utter confidence.
they suddenly fail to warm-up properly on any given afternoon
and youpersonally know that this
or that runner ALWAYS gets a minimum
of 4 furlongs of pre-race cantering
winning, you gain an enormous edge when you bet against them or just
pass the race.
every handicapper who embraces “physicality” handicapping will tell
you that in today’s game of short fields and short
prices, they couldn’t possibly wager on a horse
without looking at him. Visual inspection
has become an essential “edge” in their wagering! This
includes the legions of players forced to wager via satellite at an
off track simulcast outlet. Those of you who have a copy of my 90 minute
video BEAT THE BEAM, know that physicality handicapping via the
beam is not only possible, it’s very profitable if you
are willing to put in a small amount of extra effort that’s returned
to you many times over.
the past 12 weeks I’ve offered you much new information to digest.
I’ve painted you a “pretty cow”, but how can you personally
get any milk.
first thing that is necessary is your willingness to spend some
time to hone your visual skills whether wagering on or
back to the time when you were just learning how to “paper” handicap.
like yourself, I went down many blind alleys when seeking immutable
truths that were non-existent. Was speed was more important than class,
or was class more important than speed? Wait a minute, wasn’t pace
the most important? Or was it some proportionate combination of all
three? What if the horse had to carry a weight package of 122 pounds
for the very 1st time? Did you throw him out? How about
running at an untried distance? Did you immediately throw out all sprinters
stretching out or all routers shortening up? What about major jockey
shifts? What about dirt-to-turf moves? How about shippers or females
running against males? When did 3 year olds beat older? When did 1st
lasix horses really matter?
could go on “ad nauseum” with infinite scenarios of “what ifs”, but
I’m sure you get the drift!
put, it took today’s proficient and talented
handicappers quite a number of years to get good at sifting thru the
many twists and turns to come up with their contenders when “paper”
handicapping a race. Their priceless working knowledge of how
to properly weigh the unending variables that present themselves
each day in every race is their betting “edge”.
“edge” didn’t happen overnight! Years of mistakes (most
repeated), trial and error, experimentation, perseverance and an unending
desire to understand our complex game produced their “edge”. Much like
“paper” handicapping, so too is it with “physicality”
handicapping. The more you put into it, the more you’ll get out of
it. But the major difference between “paper” handicapping
and “paddock” handicapping is that “physicality” is so much
easier to learn than the very necessary but overly laborious
“paper” crunching. I wish I had little elves to do my paperwork, but
unfortunately I can’t find any and am forced to do it myself.
personally tutored many students over the years on the finer points
of physicality handicapping and most became proficient in a mere
6 months------it took me well over 6 years to learn how
to properly interpret the Racing Form!
of players who bet via satellite have told me of countless
saved wagers and big “scores” because they took the time
and effort to learn “physicality” via the “beam”.