One
of the great things about having a weekly publication (SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA HORSE TO WATCH) is that over the past 8 years, my
clients have kept me “on my toes” with thought-provoking
questions. I never sit at my computer wondering about what to write
for my weekly syndicated column that first appears in the SCHTW
and a month or so later, finds it’s way onto selected first
class websites on the internet.
Whenever
I get a query that is new and interesting, I like to pass it on to all
my other clients in hopes of improving their game as well. Here’s a
“fresh” one that made me stop and think before replying.
“Joe,
I’m having a difficult time getting a read on trainer
Eric Kruljac. I believe his base is in Phoenix, yet he seems to frequently
run horses in Southern California. How capable do you feel he is?
Any info would be appreciated. Thanks, Paul”.
My
reply went something like this:
Regarding
Eric Kruljac, I put him into the category of "crossover"
trainer.
These are conditioners who in essence are “minor league”
trainers, but at times have a few horses good enough
to compete at some level on our major Southern California circuit.
Other good examples of “crossover trainers” are Ed Moger,
Kathy Walsh, Bill Morey, Jim Cassidy, Don Warren, James Chapman and
Leonard Duncan to name only a few.
Whenever any “crossover” trainer has a horse in a race, I treat their
runner as I would any other contestant---I handicap his horse first
and if warranting any further consideration, I then go on to things
like overall past “physicality” of the horse, trainer capability, jockey,
post position, etc., until I come up with my final contenders for my
paddock inspections the following afternoon.
If you start by handicapping any “crossover trainer” first before
handicapping the actual horse, you end up tossing out all these conditioners
assuming all their stock is minor league as well. In
most cases it is, but these minor league trainers do win
races every day!
If you were to do a small study on these crossover conditioners, you'll
find that most often they do very well on their own circuit and are
generally near or at the top of their minor league standings. If
a minor league trainer is winning a lot of races,
at least he knows "what to do" to visit the
winner’s circle. If given better animals, he might move
them to the major leagues and win allowance races and minor overnight
stakes.
Very few of these "crossover" trainers win "Graded"
races, but it does happen occasionally on the major Southern California
circuit. Kathy Walsh (certainly not one of my favorites) has been known
to win a "Graded" turf race as has Leonard Duncan on the dirt.
Again, so there is no confusion, these conditioners are still mostly
3rd tier trainers in my overall trainer standings that are based on
much more than simplistic win-loss statistics.
Few (if any) of the “crossover crew” will ever become a Neil Drysdale
or a Bobby Frankel, unless getting extremely lucky and finding owners
who can afford to buy “untried” million dollar
horses. And even if getting flawless stock with which to work, they
usually don’t have the needed hands-on experience of supervising “Graded”
stock on a daily basis and knowing how to put up with their many “quirks”
and idiosyncrasies.
It’s
one thing to pit common, no-legged, 8-10K stock against each other
and win races, as many “crossover wannabes” do every day at the bottom
claiming ranks on the Southern California circuit-----you just need
a good veterinarian who can keep you runner “together” for one another
race and a jockey who can get your “goat” out of the gate. This is
where the 3rd tier trainers live. This is where they win.
They rarely aspire to be more and as a result never
become such.
On
the other hand, it is quite another thing to have the ability to win
a “Grade 3” race. You first have to understand that you have
a runner with tons of talent and then you have to find
a way to get the horse to perform to his optimum potential. And finally,
you have to have enough intelligence to properly place
your runner with overnite mini-stakes’ horses or “Graded” stock where
he actually can win, rather than over his head
where defeat is a foregone conclusion. The very last thing
you want to do with a “good horse” is to teach him bad habits (losing)
early in his career. Building confidence in your runner with wins as
he gradually ascends the class ladder is half the equation, with the
other half keeping him racing sound and mentally well disposed.
This
is much easier “said” than actually “done”
on our circuit with our legitimate “crossover” trainers in better races.
They sometimes can, but infrequently do.
At any rate, I’m sure you get the idea.
Always handicap the horse first!
If
confronted with 3 contenders in 8 to 25K claiming races on our sunny
circuit, anybody and any trainer can win.
Keep
in mind that even a broken clock is right twice a day! Or put another
way, every blind squirrel trips over a “nut” sooner or later!
When
you're talking Santa Anita Grade 1 "Big Cap"
or facsimile thereof, the names Kruljac, Walsh, Duncan and Moger will
NEVER be found as the trainer of record of the
winning horse until “pigs” have learned to fly.
All these legit “crossover conditioners” can win the easy ones.
They
all have trouble with Grade 2s and rarely win them on a continuing basis----if
they did, they wouldn’t actually be “crossover trainers” They’d get
much more respect, better owners and therefore better racing stock.
Their
names would be mentioned in the same breath as
Bobby Frankel, Neil Drysdale, Bob Baffert, Richard Mandella, Ron McAnnally,
D. Wayne Lucas, Ron Ellis, Dave Hofmans, Wally or Craig Dollase, Jennine
Sahadi, Vlado Cerin, Ted West, or Darrell Vienna . If you really like
a horse in a Grade 1 race on our circuit, I’d have no hesitation and
wouldn’t even doubt these trainer’s abilities to have their horses race-ready
on race day.
But
betting a steady diet of “crossover trainers” in the better races will
never buy you a winter home in Aruba!